Forest fires, crop failures and heavy decrease of drinking water – these are the consequences of the impending drought in Germany. Last year meteorologists recorded the warmest summer since the beginning of the meteorological records. Unfortunately, the meteorologists predicted that this year a new record could be achieved. The consequences are even more extensive than assumed.
What are the impacts from the drought? The producer prices will considerably increase due to the bad harvest. This won´t only affect local fruits and vegetables but also milk and meat will become more expensive, because farmers are not able to feed their livestock anymore. The import will increase, the CO² emissions will increase and ultimately farmers will use more pesticides and other chemicals to keep their products long lasting. These actions are more likely to harm instead of protecting the environment. Moreover, many farmers won´t be able to weather the crisis.
Two years ago, one of the most serious droughts had been recorded in the Cape Region. Concerning this matter the RUCON Group released an interview with our Risk Management Expert Uwe Rühl in 2018, in which he examined the situation and contingency plans. He pointed out the importance of Resilience and a Risk Management Plan for such critical situations. According to Uwe Rühl, the focus should be on long-term and strategic planning, because “resilience is not a short-term concept, and in no case simply emergency planning.”
Summer is knocking at the door, but there is still time left to take appropriate actions. Business Continuity Management interferes before a problem occurs. Therefore, Business Impact Analysis, Risk analysis and emergency planning in crisis management are introduced to help prepare for the worst-
case scenario. It is also important to learn from previous crises in order to identify problems at an early stage. According to Uwe Rühl, long-term monitoring is very important to be able to make predictions and to minimize risks. Thus, many communities decided to cancel the Easter bonfires due to the recent drought and the risk of major fire outbreaks. The communities learned from the complications of last year’s forest fires and therefore minimized the risk. To detect forest fires even earlier, new forest fire sensors are being developed. These sensors are similar to a very strategic and sensitive risk analysis. In addition, the fire brigade requested more fire-fighting helicopters to intervene more rapidly. This is very similar to emergency planning in crisis management. Although the predictions say that there won´t be any shortage of drinking water, remote water pipelines will be available in very dry areas.
Germany has already implemented Business Continuity Management successfully and has learned from previous scenarios, evaluated them and planned compensation measures. It is crucial to continually update, review and re-evaluated these plans to meet the latest challenges. Especially for companies, Business Continuity Management is very important in order to prevent malfunctions and breakdowns in business processes. A Business Continuity Management System can help you prepare for any kind of crisis. Please contact us to get further information!
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